Indiana House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Shelli Yoder a 77% chance of winning the Indiana House 2016 primary. Shelli Yoder won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Shelli Yoder — 77% model odds (won)
  2. Bill Thomas — 13% model odds
  3. Bob Kern — 5% model odds
  4. James R., Jr. Mcclure — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts