Indiana House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Barry Welsh a 66% chance of winning the Indiana House 2016 primary. Barry Welsh won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Barry Welsh — 66% model odds (won)
  2. Danny Basham — 9% model odds
  3. George Thomas Holland — 9% model odds
  4. Bruce W. Peavler — 9% model odds
  5. Ralph Spelbring — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts