Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Walz an 84% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Jim Walz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jim Walz — 84% model odds (won)
  2. John J Hosta — 8% model odds
  3. Jesse Maggitt — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts