Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael Bost a 71% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Michael Bost won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael Bost — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Sadona M. Folkner — 27% model odds
  3. Paula Bradshaw — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts