Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tonia Khouri an 87% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Tonia Khouri won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tonia Khouri — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Nick Stella — 9% model odds
  3. Herman B. White — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts