Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raja Krishnamoorthi a 92% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Raja Krishnamoorthi won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Raja Krishnamoorthi — 92% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Noland — 4% model odds
  3. Deborah M. Bullwinkel — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts