Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Danny K. Davis a 93% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Danny K. Davis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Danny K. Davis — 93% model odds (won)
  2. Frederick Collins — 4% model odds
  3. Thomas Day — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts