Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter J. Roskam a 95% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Peter J. Roskam won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Peter J. Roskam — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Gordan Kinzler — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts