Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vince Kolber a 67% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Rob Sherman won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Vince Kolber — 67% model odds
- Rob Sherman — 30% model odds (won)
- Warren "Grizz" Grimsley — 3% model odds