Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Luis V. Gutierrez a 95% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Luis V. Gutierrez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Luis V. Gutierrez — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Javier Salas — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts