Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robin Kelly a 77% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Robin Kelly won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robin Kelly — 77% model odds (won)
  2. Marcus Lewis — 13% model odds
  3. Charles Rayburn — 5% model odds
  4. Dorian C. L. Myrickes — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts