Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bobby L. Rush an 89% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Bobby L. Rush won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bobby L. Rush — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Howard B., Jr. Brookins — 8% model odds
  3. O. Patrick Brutus — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts