Idaho House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James Piotrowski a 73% chance of winning the Idaho House 2016 primary. James Piotrowski won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. James Piotrowski — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Shizandra Fox — 21% model odds
  3. Staniela Nikolova — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts