Iowa Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patty Judge an 85% chance of winning the Iowa Senate 2016 primary. Patty Judge won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Patty Judge — 85% model odds (won)
2. Bob Krause — 4% model odds
3. Scattered — 4% model odds
4. Robert M Hogg — 3% model odds
5. Thomas L. Fiegen — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts