Iowa House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve King an 82% chance of winning the Iowa House 2016 primary. Steve King won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Steve King — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Rick Bertrand — 6% model odds
  3. Scattered — 6% model odds
  4. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts