Iowa House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kim Weaver a 73% chance of winning the Iowa House 2016 primary. Kim Weaver won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kim Weaver — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 21% model odds
  3. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts