Iowa House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Young an 84% chance of winning the Iowa House 2016 primary. David Young won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Young — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Grandanette — 8% model odds
  3. Scattered — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts