Iowa House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dave Loebsack a 76% chance of winning the Iowa House 2016 primary. Dave Loebsack won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dave Loebsack — 76% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 24% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts