Hawaii Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joy J Allison a 50% chance of winning the Hawaii Senate 2016 primary. Joy J Allison won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Joy J Allison — 50% model odds (won)
2. John M. Giuffre — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts