Hawaii House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Angela Aulani Kaaihue a 50% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2016 primary. Angela Aulani Kaaihue won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Angela Aulani Kaaihue — 50% model odds (won)
2. Eric Hafner — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts