Hawaii House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Shirlene Delacruz Ostrov a 74% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2016 primary. Shirlene D. Ostrov won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Shirlene Delacruz Ostrov — 74% model odds
- Shirlene D. Ostrov — 26% model odds (won)