Hawaii House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Full Term: a 20% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2016 primary. Calvin Griffin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Full Term: — 20% model odds
- Calvin Griffin — 20% model odds (won)
- Calvin C. Griffin — 20% model odds
- Yvonne Perry — 20% model odds
- Peter H. Plotzeneder — 20% model odds