Hawaii House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alan J.K. Yim a 62% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2016 primary. Alan J.K. Yim won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Alan J.K. Yim — 62% model odds
  2. Alan J.K. Yim — 38% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts