Hawaii House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lei Ahu Isa an 11% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2016 primary. Colleen Wakako Hanabusa won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Lei Ahu Isa — 11% model odds
- Colleen Wakako Hanabusa — 11% model odds
- Colleen Wakako Hanabusa — 8% model odds (won)
- Howard Kim — 8% model odds
- Javier Ocasio — 8% model odds
- Sam Puletasi — 8% model odds
- Lei Sharsh-Davis — 8% model odds
- Steve Tataii — 8% model odds