Georgia House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mickey Tuck a 57% chance of winning the Georgia House 2016 primary. Tom Graves won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Mickey Tuck — 57% model odds
  2. Tom Graves — 34% model odds (won)
  3. Allan Levene — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts