Georgia House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul C Broun a 69% chance of winning the Georgia House 2016 primary. Doug Collins won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Paul C Broun — 69% model odds
2. Doug Collins — 16% model odds (won)
3. Mike Scupin — 6% model odds
4. Bernie Fontaine — 6% model odds
5. Roger Fitzpatrick — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts