Georgia House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Drew Ferguson a 77% chance of winning the Georgia House 2016 primary. Mike Crane won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Drew Ferguson — 77% model odds
- Mike Crane — 4% model odds (won)
- Chip Flanegan — 4% model odds
- Arnall "Rod" Thomas — 4% model odds
- Jim Pace — 4% model odds
- Richard Mix — 3% model odds
- Samuel Anders — 3% model odds