Florida Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marco Rubio a 79% chance of winning the Florida Senate 2016 primary. Marco Rubio won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Marco Rubio — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Ernie Rivera — 14% model odds
  3. Carlos Beruff — 4% model odds
  4. Dwight Mark Anthony Young — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts