Florida Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick Murphy an 85% chance of winning the Florida Senate 2016 primary. Patrick Murphy won, matching the model's top pick.
- Patrick Murphy — 85% model odds (won)
- Alan Grayson — 4% model odds
- Pam Keith — 4% model odds
- Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente — 3% model odds
- Reginald Luster — 3% model odds