Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Francis Rooney a 92% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. Francis Rooney won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Francis Rooney — 92% model odds (won)
2. Dan Bongino — 4% model odds
3. Chauncey Goss — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts