Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David W. Jolly a 96% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. David W. Jolly won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David W. Jolly — 96% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Bircher — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts