Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Darren Soto a 79% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. Darren Soto won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Darren Soto — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Susannah Randolph — 9% model odds
  3. Dena Grayson — 8% model odds
  4. Valleri Crabtree — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts