Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ron Desantis an 88% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. Ron Desantis won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ron Desantis — 88% model odds (won)
2. Fred Costello — 9% model odds
3. G.G. Galloway — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts