Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jay Mcgovern a 47% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. William Mccullough won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Jay Mcgovern — 47% model odds
2. George Pappas — 23% model odds
3. William Mccullough — 22% model odds (won)
4. Dwayne L. Taylor — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts