Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Corrine Brown a 59% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. Al Lawson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Corrine Brown — 59% model odds
2. Al Lawson — 39% model odds (won)
3. Lashonda "L.J." Holloway — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts