Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Rutherford a 42% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. John Rutherford won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Rutherford — 42% model odds (won)
2. Hans Tanzler — 42% model odds
3. Bill Mcclure — 4% model odds
4. Deborah Katz Pueschel — 4% model odds
5. Lake Ray — 3% model odds
6. Edward "Ed" Malin — 3% model odds
7. Stephen J. Kaufman — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts