Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Neal Dunn a 56% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. Neal Dunn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Neal Dunn — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Mary Thomas — 41% model odds
  3. Ken Sukhia — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts