Delaware House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lisa Blunt Rochester a 70% chance of winning the Delaware House 2016 primary. Lisa Blunt Rochester won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lisa Blunt Rochester — 70% model odds (won)
  2. Sean Barney — 11% model odds
  3. Bryan Townsend — 6% model odds
  4. Micheal C., Sr. Miller — 4% model odds
  5. Scott Walker — 4% model odds
  6. Elias J. Weir — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts