DC House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eleanor Holmes Norton an 83% chance of winning the DC House 2016 primary. Eleanor Holmes Norton won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Eleanor Holmes Norton — 83% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 6% model odds
3. Natale Stracuzzi — 6% model odds
4. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts