Colorado House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jared Polis an 85% chance of winning the Colorado House 2016 primary. Jared Polis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jared Polis — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Steven Todd — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts