California Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Duf Sundheim a 52% chance of winning the California Senate 2016 primary. Duf Sundheim won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Duf Sundheim — 52% model odds (won)
  2. Greg Conlon — 4% model odds
  3. Thomas G. Del Beccaro — 4% model odds
  4. Phil Wyman — 4% model odds (won)
  5. George C. Yang — 3% model odds
  6. Pamela Elizondo — 3% model odds
  7. Tom Palzer — 3% model odds
  8. Don Krampe — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts