California Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kamala D. Harris a 46% chance of winning the California Senate 2016 primary. Kamala D. Harris won, matching the model's top pick.
- Kamala D. Harris — 46% model odds (won)
- Loretta L. Sanchez — 42% model odds (won)
- President Cristina Grappo — 3% model odds
- Herbert G. Peters — 3% model odds
- Steve Stokes — 2% model odds
- Massie Munroe — 2% model odds
- Emory Rodgers — 2% model odds