California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James Veltmeyer a 50% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. James Veltmeyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. James Veltmeyer — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Jim Ash — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts