California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Susan A. Davis a 50% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Susan A. Davis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Susan A. Davis — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Nicholas "Nick" Walpert — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts