California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Denise Gitsham a 56% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Denise Gitsham won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Denise Gitsham — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Jacquie Atkinson — 21% model odds (won)
  3. Kenneth "Mike" Canada — 10% model odds
  4. Terry Reagan Allvord — 7% model odds
  5. John Horst — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts