California House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Juan M., Jr. Hidalgo a 50% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Juan M., Jr. Hidalgo won, matching the model's top pick.
- Juan M., Jr. Hidalgo — 50% model odds (won)
- Carlos J. Sanchez — 50% model odds (won)