California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lynn Schott a 40% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Lynn Schott won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Lynn Schott — 40% model odds (won)
2. Bob Peterson — 36% model odds (won)
3. Louie A. Contreras — 12% model odds
4. Rodolfo Rudy Gaona — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts