California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lou Correa a 36% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Lou Correa won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lou Correa — 36% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Dunn — 32% model odds
  3. Bao Nguyen — 32% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts