California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nanette Diaz Barragán a 42% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Nanette Diaz Barragán won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nanette Diaz Barragán — 42% model odds (won)
  2. Isadore, Iii Hall — 42% model odds (won)
  3. Armando Sotomayor — 3% model odds
  4. Sylvia Ortiz — 3% model odds
  5. Martha C. Delgadillo — 3% model odds
  6. Morris F. Griffin — 3% model odds
  7. Marcus C. Musante — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts