California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lucille Roybal-Allard a 50% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Lucille Roybal-Allard won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Lucille Roybal-Allard — 50% model odds (won)
2. J. Cesar Flores — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts